The following text may have been generated by Optical Character Recognition, with varying degrees of accuracy. Reader beware!

Ph A A NA Ae ails L350 IE IN oh a PL AL NE i WA NG da dE Br As MA ASR A mE A EA DE SS TRA Pah MASE 0% FES EASY HT TE aa Y 3 HN RERRARY CAD oe BEER REMAN He RRS i : ARTY ANI A 8 -- PORT PERRY STAR -- Wed. March 24, 1962 Herrema speaks to | over 300 people at Gary Herrema [second from right] was the guest speaker for the Civic Affairs dinner sponsored by the Oshawa and District Real Estate Board. Seen here with Mr. Herrema are: mayor of Scugog Township, Cliff Crowell, director of the board and George Van Dyke, board chairman. [from left] Jerry Taylor, Real Estate lunch Regional Chairman, Gary Herrema spoke optimis- tically of growth in the diff- erent Durham communities as he addressed an audience of over 300, many of them realtors from across Durham region. The Civic Affairs luncheon meeting, sponsored by the Oshawa and District Real Estate Board, was "held at the Oshawa Holiday Inn, March 18. The speech which lasted about 30 minutes was enthus- iastic towards realtors as Mr. Herrema said "We have some things we want to see happen." One thing Mr. Herrema hoped for is a closer bond between those in real estate and those in council. He also felt that a closer liaison should be created between mayors and municipal planners. Mayors and members of council from each munici- Switch in age groups affects future by Mack Parliament The Canadian Real Estate Association As the gap closes between today and the year 2001 pundits are deluging the public with what they expect conditions will be when that magic year arrives. It's now less than 20 years away and the closer it comes the more accurate the pro- jections should be. Since everyone has to live some- where and since two decades are less than one-third of the average lifespan most people here today will be still here to welcome 2001 from some place they call home. A study prepared for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC) estimates that to the 24.2 million populating Canada at present another 4.7 million will be added, an increase of 19.1 per cent. However, this represents a continuing decline in the country's pop- ulation growth rate. Part of the reason is a slowing of immigration in recent years from a high of 149, 429 in 1976 to a low of 86,313 in 1978. Families are also smaller as can be seen by the number of schools closing and as more people prefer to remain bachelors and bachelorettes longer than in the past. " While the number of people in the 65 and older age groups is expected to increase, those in the 15 to 34 age group are anticipated to decline by a startling 21 per cent. By 2001, one-third of the population is expected to be comprised of juniors under 14 and seniors over 65. This will have a tremen- dous impact on housing demand. With the steep rise in the number of elderly, it is likely housing for this group will focus on housing appro- priate to their age and asso- ciated with health care. These numbers are pro- jected to increase by 41 per cent between 1981 and 2001 to 3.2 million. The middle aged will form another distinct segment. Their earning capacity will be at or near its potential and with fewer children they will be seeking high quality housing appropriate to a more socially-oriented life- style and a shift away from child-oriented housing. It is always risky to pro- ject too far into the future as conditions affecting popula- tion are always in a sta te of flux however, if present trends continue, by the middle of the next century deaths will outnumber births and the country's popula- tion will actually be in decline. Fewer housing units may be required the, but there is a desperate need for more new housing now. Meanwhile, the trend towards people living the non-family lifestyle is antici- pated to rise by 31 per cent. This movement has been increasing for two decades and appears to be firmly implanted as a way of life for many. Divorces have also become more and more common with the chance of a marriage reaching the "death do us part' stage becoming less of a possibility in one out of three marriages. INDEPENDENCE MORE COMMON Women who find it no longer tolerable to live with their husbands after a few 'years of marriage seldom "go home to mother" as they did a generation ago. Rather they set up shop as another non-family house- hold and begin a new life. This has been made possible by the growing number of working wives in the labor force, who are quite capable of supporting themselves after a marriage break- down. The trend is expected to continue, thus creating a continuing demand for non- family housing. This may account for pro- jections of 3.1 million new households by 2001, with an increase in population of only 4.7 million, indicating many of the individuals will be living alone in non-family households. To serve this growing group, an in- creasing number of smaller units will be required to be built, dictating an increase in the number of one- bedroom houses. In fact, the CMHC paper projects that while family households will increase by 31 per cent, non-family households will increase by double that amount. To keep abreast of so many housing units being occupied by so few persons, projections are that 200,000 new housing units should be added to the present stock every year between 1981 and 1986. Last year's 174,994 housing completions fell far short of this figure and starts so far this year are at an annual- ized rate of only 148,700, strongly indicating housing production is not tracking housing demand. Of the 210,000 units needed annually, 123,000 of them are expected to be for persons buying their own homes, according to the study, implying that non-family households still place a high value on home ownership. In fact, according to the study, the predilection for home ownership will be stronger by 2001 that it is today with fully 74 per cent of the people opting for home ownership, compared with approximately 61 per cent at present. The scenario developed for the study cautions that when the 1981 census data and ° other information becomes available, the predictions may change, but based on' present assumptions the requirements for new pur- chasable homes will drop by 41 per cent between now and the 1996-2001 period. URGENT NEED NOW It's a long, long wait, but there is a bright future predicted for the availability of rental 'accommodation which is now in extremely short supply in many major metropolitan areas. Demand is predicted to shrivel by a dramatic 70 per cent by the time the 1996-2001 time frame rolls around. But this is too long to mark time for those in need of adequate rental accommodation today in many centres. The Canadian Real Estate Association has recom- mended on several occasions the urgent necessity for tax incentives and other measures to encourage the creation of more desperately needed rental accommoda- tion. Without a major stim- ulus the shortage of rental accommodation will become even more serious. There won't be a massive change in the housing of Canada between now and 2001 because 73 per cent of the housing required is already in place. However, the conversion of non- residential structures, such as industrial buildings, churches and schools to create residential buildings will be an important aspect of the housing industry. This movement, is already in progress and will likely gain momentum with the passage of time. [I © MEET LOCAL SNOW LOADS PAUL KOWALCZYK 12 ROBINGLADE DRIVE, SEAGRAVE, ONT. LOC 160 (416) 985-7930 LTT Like its population, Canada's housing is ageing, though not to the degree it is in some other cofintries. With age comes deteriora- tion, although well-built houses have a longer life expectancy than humans. In 1981 only 23 per cent of all housing in the country was more than 40 years old. By 2001 more than one-third of it will be and extensive renova- tions to meet the needs and standards then present will probably be required. For the new housing to be created there will be design changes to indulge changing demographics, lifestyles and consumption patterns. With young people leaving home at an earlier age and the decline in the average family size, the number of bed- rooms a home requires is shrinking and these rooms can be designed for other uses. Overall the new houses, if bought by the well educated and well paid group of relatively young Canadians, are likely to be more lux- urious and attuned to con- venience and comfort. This age group belongs to a gen- the appointment of ... PAUL KOWALCZYK as authorized dealer for its full line of DOME, STRAIGHT and SLANTWALL. el 15th, 1982. 655-4721 RE ANNOUNCEMENT! Perma Building Systems is pleased to announce pre-engineered metal buildings -- © 10-YEAR GUARANTEE Inquire today about "NEW DEALER" special payment plans and prices. These specials valid only to April Ask for free building book. pality in Durham were also present, including Jerry Taylor, mayor of Scugog Township and Alan McPhail from Brock Township. Mr. Herrema, who spoke without the aid of notes, also said that "Politicians have no clout unless people support us." Alan McPhail of Brock Township was commended by Mr. Herrema over the Senior Citizen's housing situation there. He also told his audience that at present little would be done about the Pickering airport until the late 1980's. Mr. Herrema also in- formed his audience that he would seek re-election in the next term if his health permitted. In closing, Mr. Herrema said, "We want to create a climate in all of Durham Region to entice people to come and live here... and to enjoy living here." ousing eration of consumers who have experienced and who anticipate better and better living standards. Like all predictions, those prepared for CMHC may be accurate, yet unknows can step in to change the direc- tion of events, such as deep depression, a wider swing in interest rates than so far encountered, a change in federal immigration policy - or another baby boom. TURMBERG KENNELS BOARDING DOGS & CATS PET FOODS Frozen Beef for Pets 301bs. (32 - 15 oz. blocks) *14.49 SPRING TRAINING CLASSES start TUES., MARCH 30th HWY. 12 - BROOKLIN