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he Oshawa Times Published by Canadian Newspapers Limited 86 King St. E., Oshawa, Ontario T. L. Wilson, Publisher THURSDAY, MARCH 15, 1962 -- PAGE 6 Delinquency Prediction Formula Sparks Debate As Canadian authorities prepare to make a national study of juvenile delinquency, sociologists in Canada and the United States are debating and investigating the "Glueck Social Prediction Table." Sheldon and Eleanor Glueck, direc- tors of the centre for research in criminology at Harvard Law School, believe that the possibilities of crime and delinquency can be predicted among six-year-old children. Using an actuarial method in which five factors are evaluated and numerically weight- ed, they have devised a scoring system that rates "likelihood of persistent delinquency" in terms of "negligible, low, more than even, or high likeli- hood." The five factors are: the father's discipline, the mother's super- vision, the father's affection, the mother's affection, the family's cohesiveness. The Gluecks arrived at their for- mula after a 10-year $350,000 study of 500 delinquent and 500 non-delin- quent boys in Boston. They found that 50 per cent of all delinquents started getting into trouble before the age of eight, and 90 per cent before age 11. They combined this clue with other observations: "The striking role of interpersonal family relations in the genesis of delin- quency ; the very evident lack of close relationship between the gathers of delinquents and the boys; and the revelations of an almost complete lack of family unity." Their conclu- sion "was that the five factors are more than likely to pick out a poten- tial delinquent. It's not inevitable, point-to-point cause-and-effect, but on the basis of probability, these factors will indicate strong potential." A New York City Youth Board program which has been going on since 1953 indicates the Prediction Table has a high degree of accuracy. Critics, however, question of terms like discipline, cohesion, even delin- quency, can be strictly defined. At what point does discipline become lax? What is a cohesive family? Do minor misdeeds make a child delinquent? If they do, virtually every boy must be so labelled. But while there are obvious omissions in the Glueck for- mula, it at least gives investigators a starting point. Research A Necessity It is difficult for a layman to grasp the extent of the fantastic growth of scientific knowledge over the past couple of decades -- a growth that seems to pick up momentum each year. A. Brewer Hunt, vice-president of Northern Electric, described it this way in a recent speech: "It has been said that nine out of every 10 scien- tists who have lived since the begin- ning of time are at work today. The technical information accumulated and published in the past 10 years is equivalent to the total knowledge recorded by mankind up to 1950." One might quibble about quantity versus quality, but the fact remains that there has been, particularly in the physical sciences, an intellectual explosion. Industries and nations which fail to keep pace with his head- long expansion of technical knowledge will also fail in the competition for ecoriomic success and higher stand- ards of living. And keeping pace means not only being aware of what other industries and other countries are doing, but taking an active part in the process of scientific research. Canada has lagged behind other western countries in the field of research, particularly technological research, but has begun to move at a faster pace. Private companies and industrial organizations have been stepping up their research programs, and the federal government, which has been the greatest laggard in this respect, has indicated its intention to encourage more industrial research. We have a gap to close. In 1959, for example, in combined industry- government research in relation to gross national product, the Canadian government's share was 14 per cent, compared to the United States' 67 per cent and Britain's 48 per cent. This is not money tossed to the winds; it is returned in production, produc- tivity and jobs. Junior Arctic Partner There is a touch of irony in the fact that Canada and the Soviet Union get along together best on the only frontier they share -- in the Arctic, the Montreal Star comments. There is rather more than a touch in the fact that in this getting-along Canada is very much the junior partner. Right through the cold war, Russia has continued to transmit its Arctic weather sequences in clear. Combined with the reports from a handful of joint Canadian-American weather sta- tions in the Arctic islands, they have been the raw material for the West- ern world's forecasting, for it is in the swirling air masses around the pole that much of the weather of North America, the Atlantic Ocean and Western Europe has its origin. Russian scientific teams camping on ice islands have drifted through what are at least technically Canadian She Oshawa Times T. L. WILSON, Publisher C. GY/YN KINSEY, Editor The Oshawa Times combining The Oshawa Times (established 1871) and the Whitby Gozette and Chronicle (established 1863), is published daily (Sundays and statutory holidays excepted). Members of Canadion Daily Newspaper Publishers Association, The Canadian Press, Audit Bureau of Circulation and the Ontario Provincia! Dailies Asso- ciation. The Canadian Press is exclusively entitled to the use for republication of oll news despatched in the paper credited to it or to The Associated Press or Reuters, and also the tocol news published therein. All rights of special despatches are also reserved. Offices: Thomson Building, 425 University Avenue, Toronto, Ontario; 640 Cathcart Street, Montreal, P.Q. SUBSCRIPTION RATES Delivered by carriers in Oshawa Whitby, Ajox, Pickering, Bowmanville, Brooklin, Port Perry, Prince Albert, Maple Grove, Hampton, Frenchmon's Bay, , Taunton, Tyrone, Dunbarton, Enniskillen, Leskard, Broughom, Purketon, Claremont, Columbus, Greenwood, Kinsale, Raclar Blackstock, Manchester, Pontypool ond Newcastle, not ove: 45¢ per week. By mail (in Province of tario) outside carriers delivery creas 12.00 per year. Othe, Provinces and Commonwealth Countries 15.00. - U.S.A. and Foreign 24.00 Circulation for the issue of November 30, 1961 _ 18,006 waters. Not a cry of alarm has been raised -- perhaps because eventually we shall benefit by their research: the exchange of Arctic information continues unbroken. As Dr. Frederick Roots, one of Canada's top Arctic scientists, has pointed out, "so far we're still on the receiving side" in this exchange. Much of our knowledge of the polar seas comes from freely available Russian technical journals; our best maps of the area still originate in the Soviet Union. Some Russian scientists have sug- gested politely that Canada might contribute more to this common knowledge. Perhaps with more and more technical experts going into the high Arctic each summer, including the men of the polar continental shelf project of which Dr. Roots is co-ordi- nator, we shall be able to. Meanwhile we remain indebted to a supposed opponent for a type of knowledge which admits no boundaries. Other Editors' Views RESERVES SCANTY (Farmer's Advocate) We hear a lot about world food surpluses, but all our stockpiles would last a very short time if a catastrophe ever stopped the growing of food -- for even a short time. We have no reserves of fresh milk, about one week's supply of eggs and meat and vegetables and fruit. Bible Thought Which hope we have as an anchor of the soul, both sure and steadfast.-- Hebrews 6:19. _ A spiritual anchor is useless except as it is fixed in the very certainty of God Himself. RUSSIAN SABRE DANCE YOUR HEALTH Virus Infection Causes Shingles By JOSEPH G. MOLNER Dear Dr. Molner: My husband has had shingles for several months, and although he has not been to a doctor, he has been told by several people that there is nothing to be done but wait for them to heal. Others have told me about people who have gone to the doctor and were cured in a few weeks. In this modern day and age, surely something has been dis- covered to take care of them. --B .O. R. Shingles is a virus infection of a nerve--and even in these times we know almost nothing about curing virus infections although we can prevent some of them with vaccines. In-shingles, we can do mighty little to cure an attack, except to support general health. This is important. We also can give medication to relieve the pain --and this, too, is important. Dear Dr. Molner: I'd like your comments on a reducing system that claims you don't have to count calories. My hus- band is a fatty--about 75 pounds above average, and I worry about him. I've tried to induce him to get his weight within normal limits. So have doctors. Nothing works. He just tikes to eat.--J. A. The best I can say for the notion of not counting calories is that the counting doesn't mean anything--but the number of calories you consume cer- tainly matters. So why try to kid ourselves? Sometimes, it seems, the only QUEEN'S PARK London Now Gets Lots Of Attention By DON O'HEARN TORONTO--If London bridge is falling down it will be put right back up... and right smartly. The department of transport this year is having a number of safety workshops through the province, rather than one big show in Toronto as in the past. The first one will be held March 30 and 31. In London. Don't blame Premier Ro- barts. In fact the premier is probably quite embarrassed these days at the attention being paid his home town by the departments of government here. It's the old civil service thinking. It automatically thinks in terms of the big man's home town, No matter how foolish they may make him look. EXTEND SERVICE The hospital insurance plan will now pay for out - patient treatment of your ingrown toe- nails, This is one example of a com- mon ailment which Health Min- ister Dr. M. B. Dymond cites as likely to be covered under the changes in the plan. The changes provide that when a patient is referred by a doctor the plan will pay for his treatment in an oyt-patient clinic. Until now all that was cov- ered was the first 24 hours of treatment of accident victims. The main point of the change is to try and free hospital beds. At present doctors are send- ing borderline cases to hospital, or keeping them there longer than necessary, because in hos- pital they get free treatment under the plan. And the new coverage pro- vides that a doctor still must send the patient to the clinic if he is to get free treatment. FOOD BAD The food in the cabinet min- ister's dining room must be bad these days. The ministers are coming into the house obviously suffer- ing from indigestion. VISIT WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON (AP) -- Pres- ident Kennedy was host to La- tin American diplomats. at a White House reception today. The reception marked the first anniversary of his announce- ment of plans for the Alliance for Progress, a long-range plan for aiding Latin American coun- tries. Already noted here have been a few incidents concerning Re- sources Minister Macaulay. The other day Mr. Macaulay was joined in the petulant league by Municipal Affairs Minister Fred Cass. The opposition asked for an explanation of a bill and Mr. Cass said peremptorily "the bill is self-explanatory". Mines Minister George Ward- rope got taken aback when he tangled with Liberal Ray C. Edwards in somewhat the same domineering vein-though with Mr. Wardrope it is more habit than bad temper. The Minister derided Mr. Ed- wards for asking questions in the House when he could get the information in private. Mr. Edwards replied '"'the public sends the opposition here and one of its functions is to ask questions. I will continue to ask them-IN PUBLIC." way to get an obese man to reduce is for events--concerning his health--to scare the day- lights out of him. I recently talked to a man who joined a "reducing class" at a hospital and went down from 220 pounds to 180. His simple explanation: "I ate ex- actly what they told me to eat and nothing else. I found that eating lots of celery helped. I was the only man in the class. And I was the only person who reduced." Dear Dr. Molner: How many of the strongest sleeping pills are considered an overdose? My friend says 20 and I say 10-- MRS. R. S. The things people worry about! But your inquiry raises a useful point, I've been trying for years to explain that the dosage of any drug must be the amount that fits the patient's needs. What's right for one person isn't exactly right for another. So for some people, one strong sleeping pill would be en overdose; for another, perhaps enough. But 10--let alone 20-- would be an overdose for any- body. I don't necessarily mean a fatal overdose, since some people might live through such an amount, especially if they received prompt medical care. But either would be extremely dangerous. Dear Dr. Molner: I recently read that honey is the purest of all foods. Would it be detrimen- tal to anyone suffering from phlebitis? Or hardening of the arteries? The article also stated that diabetics can take honey where they can't take sugar. Does this mean it is not fatten- ing in itself?--MRS, 0. N. I get more than a bit tired of faddists claiming that this food or that is "'purest." What does it mean? Nothing! A newly dug potato is 100 per cent pure potato. An apple is 100 per cent apple and an egg is all egg. They're all absolutely 'pure' foods. However, I can see no possible reason why honey should harm anyone with phlebitis, hardening arteries or anything else. It is a perfectly good food, contain- ing a great deal of sugar. The remark about diabetes, however, is dangerous, Diabet- ics must keep their sugar intake low no matter what the source, and that includes the sugar in honey. Honey is just as fatten- ing as anything else containing sugar, and it's loaded with it, BY-GONE DAYS 30 YEARS AGO The Woon property, corner of Simcoe and William streets one of the oldest residences in Oshawa, was demolished by wreckers. At the annual meeting of the Oshawa Tennis Club, club membership was announced as 100, a gain of 36 over the previous year. Elected officers for the 1932 season were Dr. R. E. McMullen, president; Miss B. Furber, secretary and John Harris, treasurer. r Victoria Lodge, No 55, Loyal True Blue Association, mark- ed its 38th birthday banquet with representatives from the Supreme Grand Lodge and the District Lodge, in attendance. Named as members of the Oshawa Court of Revision were E. Bradley, Sam H. Jackson and Fred Flintoff. Rev. S. C. Jarrett, juvenile court judge, sponsored a meet- ing to consider organization of a Big Brother and Sister Movement in Oshawa. The anniversary of Shevch- enko, Ukrainian poet, was cel- ebrated by a musical festival in St. George's Ukrainian Church Hall. George Hart was elected pre- sident of the Oshawa Chamber of Commerce for 1932-33. A sliding scale of reductions in salaries for all school tea- chers and members of its staff was put into effect by the Oshawa Board of Education. Speaking to an inter - city gathering of Rotarians +f the Toronto, Cobourg and Port Hope Clubs, guests of the Osh- awa Club, Lt.-Col. George Drew spoke on the disarma- ment problem. A disarmament conference was then in session at Geneva, Switzerland. Elmer Eadie of King Street School was voted the winner of the 1932 Public School Ora- torical Contest, sponsored by the Oshawa Home and School Council. Elected as directors of th e Oshawa Chamber of Com- merce for two-year terms were the following: R. S. Morphy, A. G. Storie, W. M. Gilbert, George Hart, A. R. Alloway, L. F, McLaughlin and Russell Storks. Simcoe Street United Church Young People's Society observ- ed St. Patrick's Day in the form of an Irish festival with C. F. Cannon, inspector of the city public schools, the guest speaker. Donald Holden pre- sided for the program. Work was reported progress- the year -tng satisfactorily on Oshawa's new water filtration plant. OTTAWA REPORT Riding Revisions By Impartial Body By PATRICK NICHOLSON OTTAWA--The population of Canada reached 18,238,147 on June 1 last year, according to the census-takers. This marks a huge increase of 4,250,000 in our population in 10 years. But the federal government would now be equally interested to know whether that number includes 33 honest, impartial and public-spirited citizens. The growth and migration of our population since the previ- ous census poses a considerable problem in the representation in our federal House of Com- mons. The number of MPs elected from each province, and the size of federal constit- uencies, must be altered to re- flect these changes. This exer- cise in the past has always of- fered an opportunity, avidly seized by the political party in power, to slit the parliamentary throats of carefully - chosen opponents. Just so did the late Jimmy Gardiner, the long-time Liberal "boss" of Saskatchewan, at- tempt the political murder of the man whom he correctly ad- judged to be the greatest threat to the Liberal party - John Diefenbaker. The Liberal gov- ernment set up as usual a com- mittee and sub - committees of Parliament to arrange this time - honored gerrymandering of constituencies, to give effect to population changes revealed by the 1951 census. ADDED MOOSE JAW The Saskatchewan sub - com- mittee, master - minded of TODAY IN HISTORY By THE CANADIAN PRESS MARCH 15, 1962... Prime Minister Hendrik Ver- woerd led South Africa out of the British Commonwealth one year ago today --in 1961--an- nouncing it would become a re- public May 31. His announce- ment was made at a Common- wealth prime ministers' confer- ence in London which one day earlier had! drawn up a state- ment of principles calling for racial equality in member na- tions. 1603--Samuel de Champlain of France sailed for the New World, eventually to land on what now is Canadian soil. 1917--Czar Nicholas II of Rus- sia abdicated. course by the Right Honorable J. G. Gardiner, carved up Mr. Diefenbaker's constituency of Lake Centre, and swamped its carcass in the predominantly Pal constituency of Moose aw. But, as history records, "the golden voice of the Prairies" in 1953 arose phoenix-like from the ashes of Lake Centre, was elected by all-party support in Prince Albert, and went on to gain the strength and position to shatter his tormentors. As a matter of principle, re- inforced by this personal expe- this commission, to draw up its ground rules, to man it, to per- mit it to complete its work, and * finally to enact legislation im- plementing its recommenda- tions. It seems miost improba- ble that this could be com- pleted before the forthcoming general election. But at least a start could and no doubt will be made. The commission may need a sub- committee of three to handle the work in each province, plus a main committee. That is why Canadians may be needed cap- able of handling this important task equitably and objectively. Time and the opportunity are now knocking, calling for Prime Minister Diefenbaker to imple- ment one of his rightly cher- ished and blessedly promised reforms of a previously scan- dalously corrupt political prac- tice. We can be sure that that knock will be heeded, to re- move a dirty scar from our public life. rience, John Diefenbaker prom- ised that, if he should become prime minister, he wonld re- move the task of redistribution from the political slaughter- house, and put it in the more judicial hands of an impartial commission - as is done in Britian and other sophisticated Commonwealth countries. END GERRYMANDERS This promise was recalled in the speech from the throne at the opening of the present ses- sion of Parliament. "For the the first time in'our history," promised that statement of gov- ernment intent, an independent commission will be set up to handle this important but deli- cate task "in an equitable man- ner and upon an objective basis". It will be a lengthy task to pass the legislation setting up PARAGRAPHICAL WISDOM The only way to get an ap- preciable number of people to watch educational programs on television would be for the net- works to run them simultan- cously. "Woman Pronounced Dead Comes to Life."--Headline. Be- ing a woman, she probably changed her mind about dying. "If I weren't an optimist, I "What is the first thing you turn to when you receive our magazine?" From survey form. That darned stapled-in subscription blank which we exasperatingly rip out and dis- rd. FOR ST. PATRICK'S Smartest colors! Plain or fancy! 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