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WI RESERVE THE Page THE HERALD Wtdneiday 1917 Sobering energy report WALTER GRAY A twoyear of the world vital sources energy by experts from Urea produced a sobering report entitled Energy Global ProipecU ItSSKWO Hill Ltd page The study group known the Workshop on Alternative Energy Strategies was sponsored by the Mas Institute of Tech oology Canada was representee by Marshall A Crowe chairman of the National Energy Board and Maurice Strong chair man of PelroCanada The project director Carrot Wilson sums Up the pro ject major conclusion ominously My concluson at the end of the Workshop Is that world oil will run short sooner moat people realize Unless appropriate remedies are ap plied soon the demand for petroleum in the Communist world will pro bably overtake supplies a round That is the maximum time we have 1 J years five It might be less Petro leum demand could exceed supply as early as If the Organization of Petroleum Ex porting Countries maintain present production cell logs because oil in the ground is more valuable to them than extra dollars they cannot use We don have much time to learn how to replace or de crease our dependence on the fuel that for three decades has fed the expansion of Western living standards and the hopes of all nations for material betterment Time is our most precious resource II roust be used as wisely as energy END OF AN ERA It is difficult for Canadians to fully comprehend this sage We are an oil rich we We have the Alberta fields the Arctic tier the Athabasca tar sands The WAES spells it all out for us The end of the era of growth In oil production is probably at the most only 15 years away North American gas production will reach a plateau and start to decline before 1965 and we will gas porting country Many nations Including Canada are looking to coal as an alternative fuel North A a known coal reserves total billion metric tons of whichCanadahaslSbillion Of these reserves billion six billion In Canada are econo mically recoverable Analyses by the WAES cate that coal will be a major available alternative to oil and It will be up to individual national governments to deter mine the extent and pace of the switch to coal NUCLEAR DILEMNA The report outline the international dilemna over nuclear energy A vigorous program of building nuclear power plants sustained over the next years could lead to nuclear sources contributing as much as per cent of primary energy in the year This would be equal to the total oil consumption in the nanCommunist world in 1975 there are many obstacles In the way of such growth as the people In each country decide on the risks and benefits of nuclear energy It cannot be counted on to meet the shortfall expected through declining oil production Since the energy crisis of 1973 many people have be lieved that our salvation will be found in solar energy Ac cording to WAES it wont make any significant Impact between and much more research and develop ment of solar systems will be required GLOBAL EFFECT The WAES report concludes that the transition away from primary reliance on oil will be well underway by the year For this to be a smooth transition greater Interna tlonal cooperation among In creasingly Interdependent lions is essential Vigorous research development and de monstration of new supply sources conservation a switching programs must move forward on an inter national scale The main thrust for the year Is inescapable The period the end of the century will be one of energy transition away from oil as the world a dominant fuel the report warns Tjia timing of future energy Tela ted program and plans must Lake account of the Challenge of critical pe riod Our energy world then and in the depends on It These are very sobering words for complacent Cana It leads one to hat our makers know it they are doing Otherwise we may find our selves out In the cold without a light Water Gray Is a writer aTbampMa News Service pick the best So yo can MILK 3 it 2 bags OF 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